Tuesday, October 2, 2018

A Pretty Amazing Sunrise....

This morning produced an incredible sunrise that I wasn't expecting.  Watch to the end to see an interesting double rainbow.....



And from ground level, this is what it looked like from 3 cams....



Saturday, September 29, 2018

Moon Rise Into Sunrise - 9/29/18

The moon rise last night was awesome and the sunrise wasn't too bad either.



Saturday, September 22, 2018

Tuesday, September 4, 2018

Interesting Iridium Flare Followed By An All Night Time Lapse

Thought I would share this video.  An interesting Iridium Flare caused by a satellites reflection from the sun.  Then it is followed by an all night time lapse.



Monday, September 3, 2018

Nice Meteor This Morning

The skies finally parted last night and we were able to see the stars and a nice meteor.....


Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Seattle's Worst 24 Hour Air Quality On Record...

Just when I thought it couldn't get worse, I woke up this morning with the familiar burning eyes and sore throat.  I could barely see my neighbor's house (slight exaggeration...)  Whidbey Island is missing....  So I put the drone up to see how bad it was.  This is definitely worse than yesterday.


There are rumors of relief starting tonight...  I can hardly wait!

Meanwhile, Cliff's Blog about this record breaking event is pretty interesting...

Cliff Blog About Record Setting Smoke - Click Here

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

The Smoke Continues....

The smoke this morning is awful....  The forecasts show some temporary relief for later today, but until these wildfires are contained, we will be in an on again off again smoke situation depending on the winds.  I took this drone video this morning. 


Cliff Mass used this video in his blog this morning.  He shares some good information about this smoke event....  Cliff's Smoke Blog - August 14th

Sunday, August 12, 2018

More Smoke Coming... From All Directions?...

Cliff Mass just posted an interesting blog that coincides with what I am seeing.  The clouds I saw this morning seemed to be replaced with smoke.  We have a strong North wind blowing now, so the Maple fire and California smoke seemed illogical.  But it definitely looked like smoke....  Well...  We are now sharing smoke with BC again.  If I am reading Cliff's blog correctly, we have BC's smoke now and it will soon combine with California's smoke and eventually Eastern Washington smoke....  For a guy with asthma, this is NOT good news.....  It's also bad news for those looking forward to the Perseid meteor shower....

Click Here For Cliff's Smoke Blog... 

Saturday, August 11, 2018

Time Lapse Storm Recap From Today.... August 11, 2018

The weather today turned out as promised.  Actually, we avoided the BIG hit.  I put it into a time lapse that shows Cam1, Cam2, Cam3 and then a panorama of all three.  It's a bit long at just under 2 minutes, but worth watching to the end....


Possible Lightning Today... And a couple of tools on this site to monitor this event..

We are looking at potential lightning here this afternoon.  This doesn't happen a lot around here and I think we all need to be reminded how to be safe during these events.  About 30 years ago when I was young and dumb, I was fishing in a 14ft. aluminum boat under jet black skies.  A bolt of lightning hit the water less than 100 feet from me.  Yes, that was a very religious experience.  I couldn't hear or see anything for a while after it happened, because it was so loud and bright.  Plus every hair on my body was standing at attention.....  That event "inspired" me to stay off the water when lightning is in the area.  A boat is a perfect target.

I have some tools on my site that I thought I would share in this blog.  The first is the CAPE Forecast tool.  This is down in the "National Weather Service" section.  CAPE is an acronym that stands for "Convective Available Potential Energy".  The weather service can measure the amount of energy an air particle would have if it was lifted in the atmosphere.  If it creates enough energy, it results in lightning.  

When you click on the "CAPE Forecast" link, you will get an interactive screen that looks like this.  You can see it is for 8:00am today.  The pink off the coast is potential lightning.  These forecasts are in 3 hour increments.  I will share the forecasts for today below:


11:00am - You can see the potential starting to move into Puget Sound


2:00PM - You can see it has us covered and a new color is introduced....  This is a higher potential.


5:00PM - It pretty much has saturated our area.


8:00PM - Still pretty solid, but starting to lighten up.


11:00PM - It finally starts to clear up....


So, we could have some interesting weather today.  There is one more tool to share from the site.  It is an interactive lightning map that shows where lightning has struck.  The link is right below the CAPE Forecast link.  Here is a direct link to that site:  Lightning Map

Be Safe Today!



Monday, July 30, 2018

Smoke On The Water... Coming our way...

Edit 7/31/18  7:00AM:
The NWS just released a new forecast and it appears that the smoke will veer to the East...

NWS Smoke Forecast

Today would have been gorgeous blue skies and water... Except... We are slowly being inundated with gray smoke. 

We had the opportunity to take some friends from California out for an extended boat ride. We launched in Kingston and then ran all the way around Bainbridge Island and back to Poulsbo for a late lunch. While we were on the water I watched as the smoke got thicker and thicker on the horizon. We had a great vantage point. 

Unfortunately…. This is only the beginning and things will likely get much worse…. California smoke is coming our way and odds are there will be some local fires as well. 

I took an aerial spin this evening that shows the encroaching smoke. Tomorrow night will probably be worse.... 



There is some very good information from Cliff Mass’s blog from this morning.

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/07/smoke-reaches-western-washington.html


Thursday, July 5, 2018

Noctilucent Clouds - A Great Show Yesterday and Some Interesting Facts About Them


On the morning of July 4th we had a HUGE Noctilucent Cloud show.  There was a brief showing the evening before and then shortly after 2:30am on the 4th the sky exploded with a beautiful display.








Noctilucent Clouds ("Night Shining Clouds") should not be confused with our “earthly” clouds.  These have nothing to do with weather.  They are actually frozen space dust particles floating around 47 to 53 miles above the earth’s surface.  They are visible on the Northern horizon.

The conditions have to be just right for us to see them.  Technically, we are too far south to be in the "sweet spot" for viewing.  They are normally only seen between 50 and 70 degrees latitude.  We are at 48 degrees.

They are only visible for a few weeks either side of the summer solstice.  I have captured them from late May and into the middle of July.

For those who like their sleep...  This may not be a popular event since they are only visible during "Astronomical Twilight".  This varies throughout the year, but right now it is about 3 hours before sunrise....  The chart below shows the current "Twilight" times for our area.  


All of these conditions have to come into alignment before these ice particles can be illuminated.  The sun has to be at just the right angle where it is lower than the horizon, still dark at our level and at the same time illuminating these particles.  The graphic below demonstrates this.


A lot of things have to be just right for us to enjoy events like this.  Plus, there is no way to forecast if they will be visible.  Conditions my be just perfect and they won't show up.  They are very fickle. 

A VERY interesting fact about Noctilucent Clouds is that there are no documented reports prior to 1885....  That can open a ton of questions about..... "Human Caused" vs. "Alien Caused" vs. "Climate Change"....  Have fun with that one.... :)

Still images are beautiful, but I really like how Noctilucents move in a time lapse video.  Here is a compilation from 3 of my cameras.




For the record...  I like my sleep....  That is why I have installed all these automated cameras.... :)  I am a lazy photographer....

Tuesday, July 3, 2018

Are Personal Fireworks Worth The Cost?

Cliff Mass does an excellent job of covering the price we all pay for fireworks on the Fourth of July.  There is a lot of good information and he shares the science behind the true impact of this holiday.

He mentions:
  1. Wildfires
  2. Air quality
  3. Injuries
  4. Pets
I would like to add a couple more....  

This should be a time to celebrate our country.  It should also be a time to respect and thank the Veterans who have given us this freedom.  PTSD is very real and many of our veterans suffer severely from this.  This holiday is nothing short of torture for those suffering from PTSD.  Today I spoke with a woman whose neighbor is tortured every year from these fireworks.  He served our country honorably.  He has to be sedated and his wife at his side covering him with a blanket and soothing words to get through the 4th.  I am sure he does not feel appreciated or celebrated during this time.  Just something to think about....

I love our beautiful environment and the wildlife we enjoy year around.  This is why I do what I do with Skunk Bay Weather.  This holiday brings torture to all the beautiful wildlife around us.  If we love the wildlife, why do we allow this to happen.  Just something to think about....

I know that folks who live up here truly appreciate the tranquility and beauty of our area.  Most of those I talk to in the area, do not appreciate or enjoy this holiday because of what it has become.  Fireworks bought on the reservation are not legal off the reservation.  Just something to think about.....    

Please take a moment to read Cliff's excellent blog.  He shares some very interesting scientific facts about the end result of this holiday...

Cliff's Blog     

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

Skunk Bay Missile Crisis Over


This has been a very active few days…  My website, Twitter, Facebook and even this blog have had record breaking activity.  It has been impossible to keep up with it.  I have gotten hits and inquiries from all over the world.  I knew when I went public with these images, it was going to be very active.  Well…  I think that was an understatement.


Here is a little history and my reasoning for declaring the Skunk Bay Missile Crisis over. 

When I first saw that image, there was no doubt about it in my mind…  That was one big missile launch.  That’s why I waited for 24 hours before going public.  Cliff Mass and I shared several emails before he posted his blog.  As the day progressed, there were no reports of anybody else seeing it or hearing it.  That is a big, important fact.  A missile of that size would make a lot of noise.  But, the image was so compelling, I really could not completely let go of the theory.  I study these images every day…  Thousands and thousands of these images and have never seen anything like this.  But with no reports of anybody hearing it, I parked it in my mind as a mystery, rather than a fact.  Theories about it being a plane I discounted because they were not in the field of view of my cameras and I see thousands of planes fly over and they don’t look like this image at all.  Tyler Rogoway, an aviation specialist did a lot of research and found it matched an Airlift NW helicopter path perfectly.  But, I still could not buy into it.  Helicopters fly over all the time and they have never looked like that.  The conspiracy theories were rampant, but I could not get on board with them either….  I kept this thing parked as a mystery.  This morning I contacted Air Lift NW to find out if the Nav lights on the helicopter were different in any way.  I got a fairly quick response back from them after they talked with the pilot.  Here is the text:

"They were transiting from Bremerton to Bellingham on a standard instrument flight plan, flying in the clouds with night vision goggles. The search light was retracted flush under the nose, but did not switch off and was facing straight down."

So, the path of the helicopter matches perfectly and now that I know the searchlight was in a locked down position and still on, it makes sense now.

I know my cameras very well.  This was a unique situation that would have resulted in exactly this type of image.  I never thought it would be solved like this….  What an adventure.

I know that many folks will vehemently disagree with this assessment, much as I did in the beginning.  I hope they do continue to keep searching for another explanation, but in this case, I am 99% convinced this is the real solution.  I will always leave that 1% open out there because I love a good mystery…..  :)

Cliff Mass does a great job of giving the details in his blog this afternoon:

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/06/mystery-missile-launch-explained.html


 

Monday, June 11, 2018

Missile Launch On Whidbey Island?

I have been sitting on this since yesterday morning…. My night camera picked up what clearly looks like a very large missile launch from Whidbey Island. I really wanted more information before I shared this with the public. KOMO, KING and KIRO all contacted Whidbey NAS and the Department of Defense. They all said it didn’t come from them…. They said they don’t have the facility to launch large missiles. I ran this image by Robert Lunsford of the American Meteor Society and he said it was definitely not a meteor. It looked like a missile launch to him as well. I shared this with Cliff Mass yesterday and he did a blog on it this morning. It will be interesting if anybody from Whidbey heard or saw this event. 

Click on these images to see them full size.  Here is the full size image:



Here is a blown up crop of the "missile" at the top of the plume....






Wednesday, June 6, 2018

Nice Fireball Overnight

We had a very large fireball about 1:00am this morning. 

Here is the image and an overnight time lapse:


Here is a single image:

Friday, May 25, 2018

A Little Catch Up ..... Some Time Lapses From The Last Few Days....

There have been some incredible time lapses and images in the past few days and I am just now getting around to posting them.

Sunrise 5/25/18



An Aerial Sunset Video - 5/24/18


Sunset From Cam 1 - 5/24/18


A Starry Night Under A Bright Moon - 5/24/2018


On May 22 there was blue sky above me and fog all around.  I put the drone up to see what I could see...  It socked in really fast and I brought the drone down as fast as possible.  It made for an interesting video....


It's been a pretty active few days.  On another note, I am on Instagram now as well.


Thursday, May 17, 2018

Sunset - May 16, 2018

A very nice sunset last night....  Had to go up in the air to see it from here...


Tuesday, May 15, 2018

Thursday, May 10, 2018

2018 Weather Workshop Video


I was asked to share my presentation video from the PNW Weather Workshop to the public this year.  I have also shared this video with the Hansville Community Center and the North Kitsap Puget Sound Anglers Association.  It is a 12 minute video that shows some of the beauty that has happened in the last year.  I cannot put it on Youtube, Vimeo, Facebook or Twitter because of copyright protection of the music.  I am probably at risk of a lawsuit for using and sharing this music... but… In my opinion, I am not only promoting the beauty of Mother Nature (more importantly), but I am also promoting the incredible music from the artists listed below as well as others.  For the record, I have NOT made a dime from this video.

George Winston
Phillip Wesley
Eric Clapton
John Barry

The closing song...  "Tears In Heaven" is a song that I ask you all reflect on.  The words and music are beautiful.  Eric Clapton wrote it to his 4 year old son who tragically fell to his death from a window in their 95th story apartment.  Chances are... We have all lost some important people in our lives recently.  I know I have....  My dream... and prayer.... is that heaven is as beautiful as the morning Mother Nature gave to my camera that day.

This video file is very large and I don’t want to reduce the quality too much. 

The best video (largest file) will be in 1080 here:  http://www.skunkbayweather.com/WeatherWorkshop2018.mp4

A slightly smaller file that "may" play well on slower connections is here: 

I really don’t want to reduce the quality below 720.  I am sorry to those who cannot play this video due to internet connection speed.

This is an image from the end of the video...



Sunday, May 6, 2018

Incredible Sunset....

Last night we had a remarkable sunset.  The images from all over were incredible.  This is an image from Cam1....


Here is a time lapse of the sunset into this morning's sunrise...  and a rainbow from yesterday.



Tuesday, April 24, 2018

Sun Dog Sunrise......

This morning we had another awesome sunrise, but with an added bonus....  A brilliant Sun Dog that seems to chase the sun across the sky.  A Sun Dog is a vertical rainbow caused by the sun's reflection on ice crystals in high cirrus clouds.....



And a single image from the video above....


And...  A bit earlier in the morning we had a nice meteor....


Monday, April 23, 2018

A Few Time Lapse Videos and Images....

Thought I'd share a few images and time lapses from the last few days.

On the 21st, we had a pretty active sunrise...  A LOT of wind shear and colors....


This morning's sunrise was awesome....



My night camera has picked up a few meteors the last few nights....








Thursday, April 19, 2018

Sunset, Sunrise and a Very Starry Night....

It's been so long since we have seen blue in the sky, pink at sunset and sunrise and stars overnight....  It was almost an out of body experience.....  Thought I'd share some of the images and time lapses since yesterday afternoon....

This is a repeat, but it's worth repeating in my opinion....  Besides that, I am old enough that I have earned the right to repeat myself....  

Last night's aerial sunset...











Another sunset shot....


Here is a time lapse of Sunset into Sunrise...


And...  One more thing we haven't seen for quite a while...  A beautiful starry night....


Wednesday, April 18, 2018

First Sunset In A LONG Time

First, I'd like to say I had a great time last night at the Hansville Community Center "Tuesday Talk".  It was great to meet a few folks who use my site and an opportunity to share some of Mother Nature's beauty....  Plus have a little fun....  So after all the grim news I shared about the record rainfall since.... well...  A LONG LONG time ago.....  We finally had what could be considered a real sunset.  This is like.. "Breaking News"....  I ran outside just in time to get a few aerial shots.  This one seems the best.  Oh...... It feels so good to see something other than 60 shades of gray in the sky....



Saturday, April 14, 2018

How Wet Was It?....

Today is the 14th of April...  Less than half of the month has passed.  I have 12 years of data in my system, not a lot but still significant....  We just passed the highest April rainfall in my system and we still have 16 days to go...  and it's still pouring....  2011 was the rainiest April until today.  We had 2.81" that year.  Right now...  As I type we have 2.86"... and climbing....  Yes... It's wet... Really wet!  It's so wet that our yellow lab that swims in the 52 degree Skunk Bay water when it's 35 degrees out refused to fetch a tennis ball in our back yard while I was BBQing....  Correction...  As I typed we are now at 2.88"....  

Update:  The "Storm Total" of yesterday through 4:00am this morning is 1.05"...




Tuesday, April 10, 2018

Today.... 2 Different Days In One....

This morning was horrific...  Big rain and then some nasty wet wind and then.... The skies parted....  What a beautiful afternoon...  Here is a panoramic time lapse of today....

HD Link Here:  Panorama Time Lapse - 4/10/18


Sunday, April 8, 2018

Winds This Morning and Review of Yesterday....

The winds this morning were stronger than yesterday.  Our top gust this morning is 40mph and we hit 39mph yesterday.  It is starting to calm down now as I type....

For those brave enough to re-live yesterday...  Here it is in panorama....

HD Link: Panorama Review Of April 7th



Friday, April 6, 2018

Some Thoughts About Our Local Forecast For Saturday....

Edit From The 9:35AM Update:

The discussion continues to keep the low pretty far offshore which will diminish the effect of this storm.  Still talk of pretty good winds in the Admiralty Inlet area....

********
"So, in a nutshell, strong low just offshore, strong front, decent burst of high wind likely 
on the coast--some pretty good wind all around Admiralty Inlet, but then everything just sort
of fizzles out with just normal breezy blustery weather Saturday night and Sunday.
*********

There are some interesting points in this morning’s NWS Discussion.  I have taken a few snippets from the discussion and made some comments.  

The models are now showing the majority of the wind staying a little further offshore.  

******
“With the low tracking this far offshore the chances for high winds over most of
the interior are significantly diminished.“
*******

Sounds like we dodged a bullet.....But…..  Wait....  There's more.....  This is where our local forecast might have a little "nuance".....

*******
“With the strong south southwesterly flow aloft on Saturday there is the possibility of a meso surface low forming in the lee of the Olympics in the northeast portion of the Olympic peninsula Saturday afternoon.”
*******

This is also known as a “lee-side low”.  In simplest terms, this is caused by heavy winds coming over the Olympics causing a “vacuum” on the lee side.  This essentially lowers the barometric pressure further in a fairly small area.  The result of this would be higher winds in a fairly small area on the lee side of the Olympics....  Including Hansville.

*******
“If this feature develops expect the strongest winds over the interior to be in an area from about Everett to Whidbey Island.”
*******

This could be in our “wheelhouse”…..  We experience lee-side lows often.  This storm will be nothing like the winds that sank the Hood Canal bridge, but for reference, that was a lee-side low.  

*******
“Expect the strongest winds on the Coast during the day and over the interior ( 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph except possibly higher in the Everett to Whidbey Island area ) in the afternoon and evening hours.”
*******
So….  We are not out of the woods yet.  Localized forecasts can be very difficult to call….  My gut....  I wouldn't be surprised to see a 40+ mph gust on Saturday....  Enough to get our attention, but nothing catastrophic....  


Wednesday, April 4, 2018

Huge Atmospheric River Coming To The West Coast....

Cliff Mass's blog today is...  well... exhausting....  He used that word at the end and I think it describes it well.  Pretty incredible weather for this time of year....  As bad as it may be for us, the poor folks in California are going to get hit again....  

This is a good read:  Cliff's Atmospheric River Blog


Sunday, March 25, 2018

Update.... Cliff Mass Uses This Video In His Blog On Virga.... "A Squall Coming And Going.... From The Air And Ground"....

Cliff Mass used the video below in his blog on Virga yesterday....  There has been a lot lately....

We had a pretty healthy squall move through today.  I grabbed some aerial footage before it hit and then rendered a variety of time lapses from the ground.  Mother nature is pretty awesome up close....

Best view in HD here: http://www.skunkbayweather.com/Squall0325.mp4



A Couple Of Time Lapses.... Faint Aurora and Incredible Clouds

I was very surprised to see a faint Aurora show on last night's time lapse. The KP level was very low.... It was also a beautiful evening.  Thought I would share this one....

Best watched full screen here: http://www.skunkbayweather.com/FaintNL032518.mp4



The clouds before sunset yesterday were awesome.  This is a time lapse of each cam at sunset and then sunrise this morning....

Best watched full screen here: http://www.skunkbayweather.com/SunsetIntoSunrise032518.mp4


Friday, March 23, 2018

Incredible Squall Today From Multiple Perspectives....

The squall that moved through today was filled with beauty and energy. I was able to capture it from three different perspectives. 

First, it started with an awesome rainbow: 



Then, the rain subsided for a brief window where I could take some aerial video. This is probably the most interesting perspective.  It is best viewed full screen here:


This is the same video on YouTube:




And after it was all done, I was able to put together a panorama time lapse video.  Best viewed full screen here:


This is the same video on YouTube:


Thursday, March 22, 2018

Looking out at the gray and rainy day we are having today...  I thought I would post a video from yesterday.  It was so beautiful out.  

Best watch full screen in HD here: A Beautiful Day In The Pacific NorthWet .  

Watch for the eagles at the top of the tree on the way up and at the end of the video again where they finally fly away.